HireFit

A logistic-regression hiring model on four years of talent data — on-target hires up to 83%, mis-hire rate down 41%.

HireFit — predictive hiring model

Predicting On-Target Hires from Talent Data

Cutting the mis-hire rate by 41% and lifting on-target hires to 83% didn't take more interviews; it took evidence. HireFit is a logistic-regression model trained on four years of talent data, scoring every candidate against the profiles that actually succeeded instead of relying on gut feel.

83%
on-target hires
+15 pp
improvement
-41%
mis-hire rate

Challenge

Mis-hires were expensive and frequent, and candidate matching relied on gut feel — with no systematic way to learn from past hiring outcomes.

Approach

Built a logistic-regression hiring model trained on four years of talent data, scoring candidates against the profiles that had actually succeeded in the organisation.

Outcome

On-target hires rose to 83% — a 15 percentage-point improvement — while the mis-hire rate fell by 41%.

Stack & Methods

  • Logistic regression
  • Four years of talent data
  • Candidate scoring against successful hire profiles

Sitting on data your decisions ignore?

Tell me about the decision you want to improve — I reply within 24 hours, and the first consultation is free.